Here is my take on the July 15 coup in Turkey – why it happened the way it did and what is the least unlikely hypothesis – followed by some examples of regional and international consequences this coup is bound to have. And it ends: NATO comes across as a very tired alliance that should have been closed down or re-invented itself 25 years ago when its raison d’etre – the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact – disappeared. (That was always false because the Warsaw Pact was created 6 years after NATO had been established). And, then, now this coup too – and rapid decent into instability, extreme authoritarianism, chaos and possible violence or civil war in Turkey. One may wonder what the Western press and politicians would have made of such purges had they happened in Russia or Iran? Now we hear mainly vague ’worries’ or full endorsements of a dictator. Self-censorship because of Turkey’s NATO status, or what? Why? One crack in the Empire after the other. Indeed, we are living in interesting – and dangerous – times.
Comment on Russia Today, July 16, 2016
In an open letter – hardly mentioned by the Western mainstream press, a group of high-level and rather “Realpolitik” US diplomats, scholars, military and politicians urge President Obama to take concrete steps to intensify the co-operation with Iran. There are obviously concerned that the U.S. shall be perceived as an obstacles for the implementation of the JCPOA, or the Iran Nuclear Deal […]
By Jan Oberg Published on July 8, 2016, the day of the NATO Summit in Warsaw. It’s the 5th in the TFF Series “The New Cold War” Russia and NATO have offensive capacities and MIMACs (Military-Industrial-Media-Academic Complex) but NATO’s is a much larger potential threat to Russia than the other way around Why does an alliance with such an overwhelming […]
The West leaves, a multi-polar world comes Jan Øberg – Video lecture – Part 1/3
On June 15, 2016 I participated in a discussion with Mike O’Hanlon from the Brookings Institution on CCTV America – China’s international TV station in the U.S. with up to 75 million viewers. The discussion was lead by Anand Naidoo. You can watch it here.
TFF PressInfo # 373: What Obama should do in Hiroshima tomorrow Articles by Jonathan Power & Richard Falk http://bit.ly/1U8PEq3 With an intro by Jan Oberg.
Commenting on NATO S-G Jens Stoltenberg’s wish for dialogue with Russia – a bit odd after all the other provocative initiatives he has spearheaded the last good year or so. I felt like saying something more general about this outdated paradigm – and why it is dangerous for us all – referring also to the Russell-Einstein Manifesto of 1955. You may also see it as my statement countering the NATO Annual 2015 Report which lacks every intellectualism, theoretical/conceptual clarity, empathy, peace thinking and – naively – equates military build-up with ‘security’.
Congratulations to Iran – people, leadership and brilliant negotiation team under the leadership of foreign minister Javad Zarif. But then I criticise that the US Treasury imposed new sanctions the day after – on Sunday January 17 – and I argue that it is a sign of weakness and that the friends of the U.S. should not follow suit.
Here media hysteria goes again. This is BBC. It is very difficult to know what has happened. The media and many governments around the world immediately condemn this test. The EU says it is against UN Security Council resolutions – a council consisting exclusively of much stronger, nuclear powers. Before we get carried away, it should be pointed out that North […]
The UN Charter states clearly: • The equal rights of men and women • The equal rights of nations large and small • The norm to bring about peace by peaceful means The Universal Declaration of Human Rights states clearly: • The norm that all human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights without distinction of […]
It’s absolutely necessary to remember what happened 70 years ago in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, see the movies from then, listen to the survivors, the hibakusa. But it isn’t enough for us to rid the world of these crimes-against-humanity weapons. And that we must. Hiroshima and Nagasaki is history and it is also the essence of the age you and I live in – the nuclear age. If the hypothesis is that by showing these films, we create opinion against nuclear weapons, 70 years of ever more nuclearism should be enough to conclude that that hypothesis is plain wrong. There is a need for a frontal attack on not only the weapons but on the nuclearism – the thinking/ideology on which they are based and made to look ‘necessary’ for security and peace. That is what this TFF PressInfo by me is about. On my Facebook page, you’ll find essentially important links to nuclear weapons, Hiroshima as well as criticism of the argument that the bombs were dropped to end the war. It is simply not true. It was the first military action of the Cold War, a message to the Soviet Union at the time.
15 minutes about this piece of world history. With TFF I am proud that we have been engaged over the last few years in and with Iran and have gathered a reasonable expertise through studies and visits. Grateful for your sharing if you like it.
Kindly chosen this morning to be the first commentator on RT – the world’s third largest after CNN and Al Jazeera with an estimated 700 million audience: I’d be happy if you share it!
My comments to Iran’s PressTV in the morning of July 14, before the nuclear deal with Iran was announced. This is a taped interview with a summary text: “This is a triumph for talks, for diplomacy, for dialogue instead of warfare and it is an important movement for the world not only for Iran or for the Middle East, or for Europe, it is for the whole world, because a war with Iran would be a terrible thing for the people, for the Middle East, for the world,” Jan Oberg, director at Transnational Foundation for Peace and Future Research, told Press TV on Tuesday. “This is a victory for civilization, for civilized manners,” he added.
A new TFF PressInfo – # 328 With another approach we would have a deal with Iran today
Commenting on Iran’s international PressTV on June 26, 2015
My deeply concerned wake-up call to YOU! Please share and spread further! NATO’s military leader is like a man given a scalpel to perform surgery without ever having opened a book on medicine. Taxpayers pay for getting less and less secure and risking war in Europe. These military elites have no democratic mandate – be it in the West, Russia, China or anywhere. My interview with RT International
Trykt i tidsskriftet Ræson 4/14 I politisk forstand eksisterer det Danmark jeg voksede op i ikke mere. Det var et land hvor man i rimeligt omfang troede på humanisme, på retfærdighed, ligeberettigelse, velfærdsstat og på at snakke om tingene. Selvom vi var med i NATO så skulle konflikter løses i overensstemmelse med folkeretten og ved at snakke om tingene. Idag er Danmark ledende på to områder, som mange i min generation dengang ville have forsværget at vi nogensinde ville røre med en ildtang: fremmedfjendtlighed og militarisme. Selvom der er en sammenhæng mellem disse to ting så skal jeg i det følgende i en slags listeform svare på det spørgsmål Ræson har stillet mig: Hvad er det for en udvikling der er sket i DK’s syn på verden og militær magtanvendelse de sidste 25 år? Man kunne også spørge: Hvorfor er den aktivistiske udenrigspolitik i første række militær? Hvorfor er det moralske argument om at vi ”må da gøre noget når” kun relevant dér hvor F16 kan bruges men ikke dér hvor fattigdommens og fejludviklingens problemer tager tusinder af liv hver dag? Punkterne, der dækker de nævnte 25 år – altså tiden siden den gamle kolde krigs afslutning i 1989 – er ikke prioriterede. Alting hænger sammen og den lineær tænkning samt enkel kausalitet af typen A forårsager B forårsager C er forældede begreber. Det globale perspektiv. Alt uden for EU, altså sådan cirka 93 % af verden – er blevet […]