Hillary Rodham Clinton was nominated last night by the Democratic Party as its candidate for the U.S. Presidency. She may well win on November 8. What a tragedy for Western democracy that the leader of what is still called the free, democratic world cannot produce better candidates than Trump and Clinton through a disgustingly commercialized and corrupt political process where […]
Here is my take on the July 15 coup in Turkey – why it happened the way it did and what is the least unlikely hypothesis – followed by some examples of regional and international consequences this coup is bound to have. And it ends: NATO comes across as a very tired alliance that should have been closed down or re-invented itself 25 years ago when its raison d’etre – the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact – disappeared. (That was always false because the Warsaw Pact was created 6 years after NATO had been established). And, then, now this coup too – and rapid decent into instability, extreme authoritarianism, chaos and possible violence or civil war in Turkey. One may wonder what the Western press and politicians would have made of such purges had they happened in Russia or Iran? Now we hear mainly vague ’worries’ or full endorsements of a dictator. Self-censorship because of Turkey’s NATO status, or what? Why? One crack in the Empire after the other. Indeed, we are living in interesting – and dangerous – times.
Comment on Russia Today, July 16, 2016
By Jan Oberg Published on July 8, 2016, the day of the NATO Summit in Warsaw. It’s the 5th in the TFF Series “The New Cold War” Russia and NATO have offensive capacities and MIMACs (Military-Industrial-Media-Academic Complex) but NATO’s is a much larger potential threat to Russia than the other way around Why does an alliance with such an overwhelming […]
By Jan Oberg The third article in the TFF series on The New Cold War We are witnessing a remarkable increase in tension between the US/NATO and Russia these years – and it can not only be explained by whatever we choose to think happened in Ukraine and Crimea. We find a totally new effort on both sides to use social and other media to tell how dangerous “they” are to “us”. There is a clear tendency to “fearology” – to instill fear in the citizens on both sides about the capabilities and intentions of the other side. We find deeply concerned articles about the possibility of war between the two parties – a quarter of a century after the Berlin Wall tumbled. Why is the new tension rising in Europe between US/NATO and Russia so manifestly dangerous and – with the exception of the Cuban Missile Crisis worse than during the First Cold War? On a series of indicators, the political Western world – US/NATO/EU and Christian (Orthodox, Protestant, Catholic with sects) – is becoming weak relative to other players in the global society. The West has engaged in a series of wars that turned into very costly fiascos – from what followed from Sykes-Picot which turned 100 in May 2016 over Vietnam to the destruction of Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Syria. The West is still the largest economic bloc and the 28 NATO members cover about 70% of […]
The West leaves, a multi-polar world comes Jan Øberg – Video lecture – Part 1/3
On June 15, 2016 I participated in a discussion with Mike O’Hanlon from the Brookings Institution on CCTV America – China’s international TV station in the U.S. with up to 75 million viewers. The discussion was lead by Anand Naidoo. You can watch it here.
TFF PressInfo # 373: What Obama should do in Hiroshima tomorrow Articles by Jonathan Power & Richard Falk http://bit.ly/1U8PEq3 With an intro by Jan Oberg.
Hvad får vi egentlig at vide om det nordiske topmøde i Washington? Svar: Andedamsjournalistik om middagen, salen, musikken, underholdningen og Lars Løkke Rasmussens morsomme (?) tale. Det er politik som et show – eller dække. Benovelsen over at blive modtaget med pomp og pragt i Washington er til at tage og føle på. Og sådan er det hele vejen på tværs af […]
På pressekonferencen igår påpegede forsvarsminister Peter Christensen på at man kan være tryg ved at F35 endnu ikke er færdigudviklet fordi den amerikanske kongres løbende får rapporter om dette udviklingsarbejde: “- Men det er et meget transparent udviklingsprojekt, der gør, at Kongressen i USA også hele tiden får rapporter om, hvor langt vi er nået, hvor de nuværende problemer er, og hvad de har tænkt sig at gøre ved dem. Så i fremtiden vil vi også høre om ting, som man ikke har færdigudviklet, og som giver problemer.” Gad vide hvad han så mener om – og vil kunne gøre ved – den seneste rapport udfærdiget af GAO, General Accountability Office – USA’s højeste revisionsmyndighed? Ifølge det berømte businesstidsskrift Fortune siger rapporten at flyets Autonomiske Logistik Informations System (ALIS) er så mangelfuldt at flyet i værst fald kan komme til at blive stående på jorden og at det ikke vil kunne operere med andre dele af militæret når det befinder sig i visse områder. Rapporten er helt ny, fra 18. april i år. Kendte forsvarsministeren til den på pressekonferencen? Hvis han gjorde ville han og hans forhåbentlig objektive analytikere vide at hvis disse problemer skal løses vil der blive tale om et meget dyrere fly inden de vil blive leveret til Danmark i 2021? Artiklen taler om en ekstraomkostning på US $ 20-100 milliarder for bare at få dette ALIS system – ét af utallige problemer med dette fly, der kaldes en “kalkun” i fagkredse – […]
Den 19. april 2016 havde Folketinget 2. behandling af forslaget om også at bombe og indsætte specialstyrker i Syrien. Jeg mener at sagen er fundamentalt vigtig for Danmark, danskerne og vor fremtidige rolle og ‘image’ ude i verden. Desuden finder jeg at beslutningsgrundlaget, mediedækningen og den offentlige debat giver anledning til den største bekymring. At gå i krig er den vigtigste […]
Something is rotten in the State of Denmark and the world will increasingly see it. It’s an unpleasant combination of Islamophobia, militarism and a peculiar ethical and intellectual self-destructive obedience to US/NATO all wrapped up in a pseudo-humanitarian flag. It’s important that intellectuals criticise the policies of their native country and not only and politically correctly criticise that of others. In the case of Danish foreign and security policy it is fairly easy to do so provided you are supported neither by that country’s state nor its corporations. TFF and I myself are not supported by government or corporate money. We like free research and freedom of expression so much, believing it is essential for a freer and more democratic world. On March 4, 2016 a large majority of Danish political parties agreed to send F 16s and special forces into Syria. It happened in consequence of a request from the U.S., of course. I’ve put this – fateful – decision in perspective here in TFF PressInfo # 365.
Så skal Danmark i bombe krig for 6. gang siden 1999. Det er i hvert fald hvad DR varsler her. Først var der Jugoslavien – to nætter i 1999, så Afghanistan, derpå Iraq 2003-2007 og fra 2014; så pulveriseringen af Libyen langt uden for FN’s Sikkerhedsråds mandat og nu skal dette udvides til Syrien. Sådan som den er blevet udkæmpet […]
Föredrag på Nordiskt Fredsmöte – 28:e februari 2016
Commenting on NATO S-G Jens Stoltenberg’s wish for dialogue with Russia – a bit odd after all the other provocative initiatives he has spearheaded the last good year or so. I felt like saying something more general about this outdated paradigm – and why it is dangerous for us all – referring also to the Russell-Einstein Manifesto of 1955. You may also see it as my statement countering the NATO Annual 2015 Report which lacks every intellectualism, theoretical/conceptual clarity, empathy, peace thinking and – naively – equates military build-up with ‘security’.
Congratulations to Iran – people, leadership and brilliant negotiation team under the leadership of foreign minister Javad Zarif. But then I criticise that the US Treasury imposed new sanctions the day after – on Sunday January 17 – and I argue that it is a sign of weakness and that the friends of the U.S. should not follow suit.
Here media hysteria goes again. This is BBC. It is very difficult to know what has happened. The media and many governments around the world immediately condemn this test. The EU says it is against UN Security Council resolutions – a council consisting exclusively of much stronger, nuclear powers. Before we get carried away, it should be pointed out that North […]
Don’t underestimate him, count him out or think he is crazy. NBC’s “Meet the Press” half-hour interview with Donald Trump is interesting. He has passion and a very fast mind, he seems to have integrity in the sense that he cannot be bought for money by others and he doesn’t mind having standpoints that conservative republicans find odd or surprising. He is clearly eclectic and pragmatic rather than a theoretician, ideology-bent politician – and seems to build a lot on his entrepreneur experience and sense of reading people. His vision – “making America great again!” – may be frightening and wrong and it is based on strength, on military but even more on economic strength. The interesting thing is that he is much more realistic